Thursday, April 30th 2009 Weather Outlook

Thursday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Great Lakes/Northeast/Mississippi Valley System, West System

11:00PM

On Thursday, a system will continue to push east through the Midwest. Showers and storms will be possible in portions of the Plains, Mississippi valley, Northeast and Great Lakes. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, Tennesse, Mississippi and Arkansas. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -8 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-55KT. This along with a system pushing through the area, will help storms become severe. In the Afternoon, severe storms will develop along a cold front associated with the system in the Midwest. These storms will push eastward into the Night before weakening. On the north side of the system, snow will be possible in portions of the Northwest and Northwestern Plains. In the West, showers will move onto the West Coast, associated with a new system moving in. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Thursday.

 

Wednesday, April 29th 2009 Weather Outlook

Wednesday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Midwest/Mississippi Valley System, Mid-Atlantic System

11:00PM

On Wednesday, a system will exit the Mid-Atlantic, while a system pushes into the Plains. Showers and isolated storms will be possible in portions of the Mid-Atlanit, as a system exits the area. In the Plains, a system will enter the region from the West. Showers and storms will be possible in the Plains, Midwest and Mississippi Valley, along and ahead of the approaching system. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Nebraska, Kansas, Colorado, Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas and Louisiana. CAPE values will be around 3500 J/KG, LI’s of -8 and Effective Bulk Shear Values of 40-60KT. This along with a system pushing through the area, will help storms become severe. An MCS will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Texas and Oklahoma. Severe storms will be possible with this storm complex as it pushes eastward into the Night. Another line of severe storms will develop from Nebraska down into Texas in the Afternoon. These storms will push eastward through the Evening, before Weakening Overnight. The main threats from the severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes. On the north side of the system, snow will be likely in the higher elevations of the Northwest. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Wednesday.

 

Tuesday, April 28th 2009 Weather Outlook

Tuesday’s Weather Outlook; Plains/West System, Northeast/Mississippi Valley System

12:00PM

On Tuesday, a system will push into the Northeast, while a system continues to push through the West. Showers and storms will be possible along and ahead of a system pushing through the Northeast and Mississippi valley. In the West, a system will continue to push eastward through the region. Showers and storms will be possible in the lower elevations and snow in the higher elevations. In the Southern Plains, showers and storms will also be possible near a warm front retreating north ahead of the West system. With limited instibility, some storms may become severe in portions of  Texas and New Mexico. The Main threats will be hail, damaging iwnds and an isolated tornado. Below is the thunderstorm and snowfall outlook for Tuesday.

Monday, April 27th 2009 Weather Outlook

Monday’s Weather Outlook; Plains/Mississippi Valley/Great Lakes System, Northwest System

12:00PM

On Monday, a system will continue to push eastward into the Great Lakes, while a new system enters the Northwest. Showers and storms will be possible in portions of the Great Lakes, Mississippi Vallet and Plains, as a system pushes through. Debris clouds and remaining convection from storms the Sunday Night and Monday Morning will limit the severe weather potential, compared to the past few days. With limited instibility, some storms may become severe on the southern part of the cold front pushing through the region from the system further north. This potential will exist from Illinois dwon into Texas. The main threats fromt he severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. In the Northwest, a new system will push onshore into the region. showers and storms will be possible in the lower elevations and snow in the higher elevations. Below is the thunderstorm and snowfall outlook for Monday.

Sunday, April 26th 2009 Weather Outlook

Sunday’s Weather Outlook; Plains/West/Midwest/Great Lakes/Northeast System

12:00PM

On Sunday, a system willc ontinue to push slowly east through the Plains. Showers and storms will be likely in portions of Plains, Midwest, Great Lakes, Northeast and West associated with the system. There is a moderate risk for severe storms in portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska and Iowa, with a slight risk in surrounding areas. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -8, Effective Bulk Shear values of 40-60KT and EHI values up to 7. This along with a system psuhing through, will help storms become severe. Severe storms will develop in the middle of the day from Texas up into Iowa. These storms will push northeast into the Evening, before weakening overnight. The main threats fromt he severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. On the north side of the system, snow will be possible in the higher elevations on the West and in the Northern Plains. Accumulations are likely. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Sunday.

Sunday, April 25th 2009 Weather Outlook

Saturday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Great Lakes/Mississippi Valley/Northeast System

1:00AM

On Sunday, a system will continue to slowly push eastward through the Plains. Showers and storms will be possible over portions of the Northeast, Great Lakes, Mississippi Valley, Plains and the lower elevations of the West. There is a moderate risk for severe storms in portions of Kansas, Texas and Oklahoma, with a slight risk from Michigan down into Missouri. CAPE values will be around 2500 J/KG, LI’s of -7 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-50KT. This along with a system pushing through, will help storms become severe. Severe storms will develop along a frontal boundary from Michigan down through Missouri and into Oklahoma. These storms will push northeast through the Night, before weakening. The main threats from the severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. On the north side of the system, snow will be possible in the higher elevations of the West. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Saturday.

 

Friday, April 24th 2009 Weather Outlook

Friday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Mississippi Valley/Southeast System

12:30AM

On Friday, a system will continue to push slowly eastward through the Plains. Showers and storms will be likely along and ahead of the system in portions of the West, Plains, Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Minnesota, Wiscosnin, Michigan, Iowa and Nebraska. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -7, Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-50KT and dew points in the 60’s. This alond with a system psuhing through, will help storms become severe. Storms should fire along the front from Minnesota down through Iowa and Nebraska in the Evening, as the CAP breaks. storms will continue eastward into the Night, before weakening. In portions of Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas, a weak wave will move through. This will help in developing showers and storms. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. In portions of Georiga, South Carolina and North Carolina, a weak wave will also be moving through. Showers and storms will be possible. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. The main thretas from the severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and some tornadoes. On the north side of the system in the Northwest, snow will be possible in the higher elevations. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Friday.

 

 

Thursday, April 23rd 2009 Weather Outlook

Thursday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Mississippi Valley/Southeast System

12:30AM

On Thursday, a system will begin to slowly push through the West. Showers and storms will be possible in the lower elevations of the West and in the Plains. Showers and storms will develop along and ahead of a cold front from the Inter-Mountain West up into Minnesota. With limited instibility, some of the storms may become severe. Along a northward moving warm front, showers and storms will be possible in portions of the Mississippi Valley. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. Along the warm front in the Southeast, showers and storms will also be possible. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Georiga. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -8 and Effective Bulk Shear of 20-45KT. This along with the warm front moving through the area, will help storms become severe. The main threats will be hail and damaging winds. On the north side of the system, snow will be possible in the higher elevations of the Northwest. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Thursday.

 

Wednesday, April 22nd 2009 Weather Outlook

Wednesday’s Weather Outlook; Northeast/ Great Lakes System, West/Plains System

11:45PM

On Wednesday, a system will slowly push into the Northeast, while a new system enters the Northwest. In the Northeast, a system will slowly push east through the region. Showers and storms will be possible across portions of the Great Lakes and Northeast. With limited instibility and low freezing levels, some hail will be possible. In the West and Plains, a system will slowly begin to enter the region, bringing a chance of scattered showers and storms to the West. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. Showers and storms will also develop along a warm front from the Central Plains into the Southern Mississippi Valley. There is a slight risk for severe storms in Kansas. CAPE values will be around 2500 J/KG, LI’s of -7 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-50KT. This along with a warm front in the area, will help some storms become severe. With the main threats being hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. Below is the severe weather and snowfall outlook for Wednesday.

 

Tuesday, April 21st 2009 Weather Outlook

Tuesday’s Weather Outlook; Great Lakes/Northeast/Southeast System

10:30PM

On Tuesday, a system will continue to slowly push east through the Great Lakes, as a system enters the far Northwest. Showers and storms will be likely in portions of the Southeast and Northeast,as a wave works in behind the main system pushing through the Great Lakes.With limited instibility and low freezing levels, a few storms may become severe in portions of the Mid-Atlantic Region. The main threat will be hail. On the north side of the system, snow will be possible in portions of Wisconsin and Michigan. Some accumulation is likely. In the Northwest, showers and storms will be possible on the north side of a dome of warmth sitting over the region, as a system clips the region. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being haila nd damaging winds. Below is the thunderstorm and snowfall outlook for Tuesday.