Sunday, May 31st 2009 Weather Outlook

31 05 2009

Sunday’s Weather Outlook; Northeast/Southeast System, West/Plains/Midwest System

8:00AM

On Sunday, a system will push eastward into the Northeast, while a system pushes into the Plains. Showers and storms will be likely in portions of the Northeast and Southeast, as a system pushes through. A few storms may be severe in New Englad. CAPE values will be around 500 J/KG, LI’s of -1 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 20-35 KT. This along witha syste moving through, will help a few storms become severe. The lack of instibility will limit the severe threat and preclude a slight risk form being issued. The main thretas from any severe storms will be hail and damaging winds. Another system will push eastward into the Plains. Showers and storms will be likely across portions of the Plains, Midwest and West associated with this system. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, and Iowa.. CAPE values will be around 2500 J/KG, LI’s of -6 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-50KT. This along with a system moving through, will help storms become severe. Severe storms will develop during the afternoon across portions of North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska and Minnesota. These storms will push southeast into the Evening. As the low level jet increases during the Evening, storms may then form into a MCS  across portions of Iowa, and push eastward through the Night. The main threats from any severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. In the West, Afternoon pop up shower and storms will be possible. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damging winds. Below is the severe weather outlook for Sunday.

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Saturday, May 30th 2009 Weather Outlook

29 05 2009

Saturday’s Weather Outlook; Great Lakes/Ohio Valley System, Plains System

12:15AM

On Saturday, a system will push eastward through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley, while a new system enters the Northern Plains. Showers and storms will be possible likely across portions of the Grea Lakes and Ohio Valley, as a system pushes into the regions. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Illinois, Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky and West Virginia. CAPE values will be around 2500 J/KG, LI’s of -7 and Effective Bulk Shear Values of 30-60KT. This along with a system pushing through, will help some storms become severe. A complex of storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Illinois, Missouri and Indiana. These storms will weaken as they push eastward. Other storms will develop in the Afternoon across portions of Kentucky, West Virginia, Ohio, Indiana and Illinois, some will be severe. These storms will push eastward into the Evening, before weakening as diurnal cooling sets in. The main threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado. Across portions of  Wisconsin, Michigan, Northern Illinois and Northern Indiana. A few storms may become severe, with the main threat being hail. In the West, Afternoon pop up showers and storms will be likely. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damaging winds. In the Northern Plains, a new system will push in late in the Day. Bringing a chance of showers and storms to the area. Below is the thunderstorm outlook for Saturday.

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Friday, May 29th 2009 Weather Outlook

29 05 2009

Friday’s Weather Outlook; Northeast/Southeast System, Plains/Great Lakes System

12:00PM

On Friday, a system will push eastward into the Northeast, while a system pushes eastward into the Great Lakes. Showers and storms will be likely in portions of the Northeast and Southeast, as a system pushes through the regions. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Georiga. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -10 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 20-30KT. This along with a system pushing through, will help storms become severe. Storms will develop in the Afternoon from Pennsylvania down into Florida. Some of the storms will be severe, as they push eastward through the Evening, before weakening as diurnal cooling sets in. The main threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds and hail. In the Plains and Great Lakes, showers and storms will be possible over portions of the regions as a system pushes through the area. Some storms may become severe. CAPE values will be around 1500J/KG, LI’s of -4 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 35-55KT. The lack of deeper moisture and covergence will limit the severe threat, this will preclude a slight risk from being issued. The main threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds and hail. In the West, Afternoon pop up showers and storms will be likely. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. The main threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds and hail. Below is the severe weather outlook for Friday.

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Thursday, May 28th 2009 Weather Outlook

27 05 2009

Thursday’s Weather Outlook; Northeast/Southeast System, Plains System

11:30PM

On Thursday, a system will push eastward into the Northeast, while a new system pushes into the Plains. Showers and storms will be likely over portions of the northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, as a system pushes eastward into the regions. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Ohio, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Kentucky, West Virginia, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennesse and Georiga. CAPE values will be around 2500 J/KG, LI’s of -7 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 25-40KT. This along with a system pushing through, will help storms become severe. Storms will develip in the Afternoon from Ohio down into Georiga, some of these storms will be severe. The storms will push eastward, before weakening in the Evening as diurnal cooling sets in. The main threats from the severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. In the Northern Plains, a system will push into the region from Canada. Showers and storms will be possible across portions of the regions. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damaging winds. In the West, Afternoon pop up showers and storms will be possible. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damaging winds. Below is the severe weather for Thursday.

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Wednesday, May 27th 2009 Weather Outlook

26 05 2009

Wednesday’s Weather Outlook; Great Lakes/Mississippi Valley/Northeast/Southeast System

12:00AM

On Wednesday, two combined system will push eastward through the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley. Showers and storms will be likely ahead of these systems in portions of the Great Lakes, Mississippi Valley, Southeast and Northeast. There is a slight risk for severe stroms in portions of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennesse, Kentucky, Illinois, Missouri, Indiana, Ohio and Michigan. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -8 and Shear Values of 25-35KT. This along with a system pushing through, will help storms become severe. Storms will develop ahead of a cold front from Michigan down into Louisiana in the afternoon. Some of these storms will be severe as they push eastward, before weakening in the Evening as diurnal cooling sets in. In Texas, and MCS will be ongoing in the Morning with some severe storms. This complex will weaken and push offshore during the day. In its wake, storms will develop in the late Afternoon, some will be severe. The main threats from the severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. In the West, with daytime heating and some instibility. Afternoon showers and storms will be possible across portions of the region. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damaging winds. Below is the thunderstorm outlook for Wednesday.

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Tuesday, May 26th 2009 Weather Outlook

26 05 2009

Tuesday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Great Lakes/Mississippi Valley/Mid-Atlantic/Southeast System(s)

12:00PM

On Tuesday, a tropical system in the Mississippi Valley will combine with a system pushing in from the Plains, and they will both push eastward. Showers and storms will be likely from both systems in portions of the Plains, great Lakes, Mississippi Valley, Southeast and Mid-Atlantic. With limited instibility a few storms may become severe in portions of the Mississippi Valley, Southeast and Ohio Valley, associated with the tropical system. The main threats from any severe storms, will be damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado. Heavy rain will also be possible, as this system has a tropical origin. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Oklahoma and Texas. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -10 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 25-50KT. This along with the system pushing eastward, will help storms become severe. Low shear values will cause slow storm movement, which along with high moisture levels, will also aid in a heavy rainfall threat. The main threats of the severe storms will be damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado. Below is the severe weather outlook for Tuesday.

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Monday, May 25th 2009 Weather Outlook

24 05 2009

Monday’s Weather Outlook; Mid-Atlantic System, West/Plains System, Mississippi Valley/Gulf Coast/Ohio Valley System

11:30PM

On Sunday, a system will continue to affect the Mid-Atlantic, while a system continues to affect the Mississippi Valley and another system affects the West and Plains. Shoers and storms will be porrible in portions of the Mid- Atlantic, as a system pulls away from the region. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damaging winds. Showers and storms will be likely over portions of the Misssissippi Valley, Gulf Coast and Ohio Valley, as a tropical system continues to push northward. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail and damaging winds. In the west, a system will be eastward into the Plains, Showers and storms will be likely in portions of the Plains and the West. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. With the main threats being hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado. Below is the thunderstorm outlook for Monday.

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