Hurricane Gustav, Sunday Late Afternoon Update

Hurricane Gustav, Sunday Late Afternoon Update

4:45PM

Hurricane Gustav continues to race nothwest across the Gulf Of Mexico, as it nears the U.S. coastline. Gustav is currently a Category 3 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 115MPH, with higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is 957mb. There have been reports of 46 foot waves from Gustav in the Gulf Of Mexico. Gustav is expected to continue to head northwest, before making a gradual turn to the west-northwest, as the speed decreases. Gustav is expected to make landfall in Louisiana, Late Sunday Night, or Monday Morning. More updates to come. Below is the latest IR Satellite image of Hurricane Gustav.

Hurricane Gustav

Hurricane Gustav

1:00PM Saturday

The chance of widespread severe weather over the U.S. the next few days will be low, thus atention will shift to Hurricane Gustav. Hurricane Gustav has now become a Category 4 Hurricane. Maximum sustained winds or around 145MPH, with higher gusts. The lowest minimum pressure mesured by hurricane hunter aircraft is 945mb. Gustav is forecast to move northwest over the next few days, and make landfall in Louisiana on Monday. More updates to come. Below is the IR Satellite image of Hurricane Gustav.

Friday, August 29th Severe Weather Outlook

Friday’s Severe Weather Outlook

10:00PM

On Friday as system will continue to work through the Great Lakes and Plains. I have issued an isolated risk for severe storms on Friday. Storms may be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri. The storms will weaken as the Morning goes on, but may produce heavy rains. In the Southern Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get around 3000, ML CAPE up around 2500, LI’s or -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 10-25KT. This along with a front moving through and high dew points, will allow storms to develop. Some may become severe. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, ahil, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Friday.

Thursday, August 28th Severe Weather Outlook

Thursday’s Severe weather Outlook

10:45PM

On Thursday the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to push through th eMid-Atlantic, while a system continue to work trough the Midwest and Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Thursday. Storms will be ongoing and continue through the day across the Mid-Atlantic, as the remnants of Fay move across the area. In the Midwest, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will be up around 4500, ML CAPE around 3000, LI’s of -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 50-65KT. This along with dew points into the 60’s and 70’s along with a front moving through, will help severe storms develop. The storms will continue into the Night as they push east. Threats from any severe storms iwll be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Thrusday.

Wednesday, August 27th Severe Weather Outlook

Wednesday’s Severe Weather Outlook

11:15PM

On Wednesay, the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to affect the Southeast, while a system continues to push through the Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Wednesday. storms will be ongoing and continue through the day across portions of the Sotheast and Ohio Valley. Some areas will recieve heavy rain, also there will be a chance of severe storms, as has been the case the past few days. In the Plains and Midwest, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE get up around 3500, ML cAPE around 2500, LI’s of -6, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 45-60KT. This along with a front pushing through, and moisture returning to the area, will help severe storms develop. These storms will continue into the Night as the head east. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornadoes. Below is my severe weather outlook for Wednesday.

Tuesday, August 26th Severe Weather Outlook

Tuesday’s Severe Weather Outlook

11:30PM

On Tuesday, the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to impact portions of the Southeast and Ohio Valley, while a system enter the Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Tuesday. Storms will be ongoing and continue through the day across portions of the Sourheast and Ohio Valley. Some areas may recieve heavy rains and severe storms. In the Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get up around 3000, ML CAPE up around 2500, LI’s of -7, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 45-65KT. This along with a system entering the area, will cause severe storms to develop. The storms will continue into the Night as they push east. Threats from any severe storms will damaging winds, hail, and an some tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Tuesday.

Monday, August 25th Severe Weather Outlook

Monday’s Severe Weather Outlook

11:45PM

On Monday the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to affect the Southeast, while a front pushes through the Northeast. There will also be a system entering the Pacific Northwest. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Monday. Storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Washington and Oregon, this is associated with a new system entering the area. Storms will alos be ongoing and continue through the day across portions of the Southeast, as the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay continue to affect the area. Some area can expect heavy rain, and the possibility for isolated tornadoes. In the Western Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get up around 3000, ML CAPE up to around 2500, LI’s of -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 30-45KT. This along with with moisture returning to the area, and the CAP breaking, will allow storms to develop. Some may be severe, as they continue into the Evening. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Monday.

Sunday, August 24th Severe Weather Outlook

Sunday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:00AM

On Sunday a cold front will push into the Northeast, Ohio Valley, and Plains, while Tropical Depression Fay continues to affect the Southeeast. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Sunday. Storms will be ongoing in the Morning and continue through the day in portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida, and Georiga. This area of rain and storms is associated with Tropical Depression Fay. There will be the potential for flooding rains and isolated tornadoes. In the Northeast and Ohio Valley, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get up around 2500, ML CAPE around 1500, and LI’s of -5. This combined with a front moving through, will help cause storms to develop. Some may be severe as they continue into the Evening before weakening. In the Western Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE and ML CAPE will get up around 3000, LI’s of -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 30-45KT. This combined with a lingering front in the area and returning moisture, will help severe storms develop. The storms will push east and persist into the Night. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Sunday.

Saturday, August 23rd Severe Weather Outlook

Saturday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:45AM

A system will continue to move east into the Great Lakes and Plains, while Tropical Storm Fay continues to affect portions of the Southeast. I have issued an slight risk for severe storms on Saturday. Storms will be ongoing through the day into Tomorrow Night across portions of Florida, Georiga, Alabama, and Mississippi. This is in association with Tropical storm Fay. Some area will recieve heavy flooding rains that will excede 10 inches. There is also a risk for some isolated tornadoes on the northeast side of Fay in Florida, Georiga, and Alabama. In the Great Lakes and Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get up around 3500, ML CAPE up around 3000, LI’s of -8, and Effective Bulk Shear up to around 30-45KT. With a front moving though, storms will develop, soem may be severe as they continue into the Evening. One limiting factor that may keep the severe potential under slight risk criteria, is a CAP. threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Saturday.

Friday, August 22nd Severe Weather Outlook

Friday’s Severe Weather Outlook

12:00PM

A system will continue to push through the Plains into the Great Lakes, while Tropical Storm Fay continues to affect portions of the Southeast. I have issued an slight risk for severe storms on Friday. Storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Georiga and Florida. These stroms will continue through the Night as Tropical Storm Fay moves west across the Florida Panhandle. Some areas will recieve heavy flooding rain. There is also the potential for some isolated tornadoes. In the Midwest, in the Afternoon and Evening, as a front moves in, SB CAPE and ML CAPE will get up around 3000, LI’s of -5, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 45-55KT. In the Evening when the CAP that will breaks, storms will develop, some may become severe. Threats from any severe will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Friday.