Hurricane Gustav, Sunday Late Afternoon Update

31 08 2008

Hurricane Gustav, Sunday Late Afternoon Update

4:45PM

Hurricane Gustav continues to race nothwest across the Gulf Of Mexico, as it nears the U.S. coastline. Gustav is currently a Category 3 hurricane, with maximum sustained winds of 115MPH, with higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is 957mb. There have been reports of 46 foot waves from Gustav in the Gulf Of Mexico. Gustav is expected to continue to head northwest, before making a gradual turn to the west-northwest, as the speed decreases. Gustav is expected to make landfall in Louisiana, Late Sunday Night, or Monday Morning. More updates to come. Below is the latest IR Satellite image of Hurricane Gustav.

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Hurricane Gustav

30 08 2008

Hurricane Gustav

1:00PM Saturday

The chance of widespread severe weather over the U.S. the next few days will be low, thus atention will shift to Hurricane Gustav. Hurricane Gustav has now become a Category 4 Hurricane. Maximum sustained winds or around 145MPH, with higher gusts. The lowest minimum pressure mesured by hurricane hunter aircraft is 945mb. Gustav is forecast to move northwest over the next few days, and make landfall in Louisiana on Monday. More updates to come. Below is the IR Satellite image of Hurricane Gustav.





Friday, August 29th Severe Weather Outlook

28 08 2008

Friday’s Severe Weather Outlook

10:00PM

On Friday as system will continue to work through the Great Lakes and Plains. I have issued an isolated risk for severe storms on Friday. Storms may be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri. The storms will weaken as the Morning goes on, but may produce heavy rains. In the Southern Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get around 3000, ML CAPE up around 2500, LI’s or -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 10-25KT. This along with a front moving through and high dew points, will allow storms to develop. Some may become severe. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, ahil, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Friday.





Thursday, August 28th Severe Weather Outlook

27 08 2008

Thursday’s Severe weather Outlook

10:45PM

On Thursday the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to push through th eMid-Atlantic, while a system continue to work trough the Midwest and Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Thursday. Storms will be ongoing and continue through the day across the Mid-Atlantic, as the remnants of Fay move across the area. In the Midwest, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will be up around 4500, ML CAPE around 3000, LI’s of -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 50-65KT. This along with dew points into the 60’s and 70’s along with a front moving through, will help severe storms develop. The storms will continue into the Night as they push east. Threats from any severe storms iwll be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Thrusday.





Wednesday, August 27th Severe Weather Outlook

26 08 2008

Wednesday’s Severe Weather Outlook

11:15PM

On Wednesay, the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to affect the Southeast, while a system continues to push through the Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Wednesday. storms will be ongoing and continue through the day across portions of the Sotheast and Ohio Valley. Some areas will recieve heavy rain, also there will be a chance of severe storms, as has been the case the past few days. In the Plains and Midwest, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE get up around 3500, ML cAPE around 2500, LI’s of -6, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 45-60KT. This along with a front pushing through, and moisture returning to the area, will help severe storms develop. These storms will continue into the Night as the head east. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornadoes. Below is my severe weather outlook for Wednesday.





Tuesday, August 26th Severe Weather Outlook

25 08 2008

Tuesday’s Severe Weather Outlook

11:30PM

On Tuesday, the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to impact portions of the Southeast and Ohio Valley, while a system enter the Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Tuesday. Storms will be ongoing and continue through the day across portions of the Sourheast and Ohio Valley. Some areas may recieve heavy rains and severe storms. In the Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get up around 3000, ML CAPE up around 2500, LI’s of -7, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 45-65KT. This along with a system entering the area, will cause severe storms to develop. The storms will continue into the Night as they push east. Threats from any severe storms will damaging winds, hail, and an some tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Tuesday.





Monday, August 25th Severe Weather Outlook

24 08 2008

Monday’s Severe Weather Outlook

11:45PM

On Monday the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay will continue to affect the Southeast, while a front pushes through the Northeast. There will also be a system entering the Pacific Northwest. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Monday. Storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Washington and Oregon, this is associated with a new system entering the area. Storms will alos be ongoing and continue through the day across portions of the Southeast, as the remnants of Tropical Storm Fay continue to affect the area. Some area can expect heavy rain, and the possibility for isolated tornadoes. In the Western Plains, in the Afternoon, SB CAPE will get up around 3000, ML CAPE up to around 2500, LI’s of -8, and Effective Bulk Shear of up to 30-45KT. This along with with moisture returning to the area, and the CAP breaking, will allow storms to develop. Some may be severe, as they continue into the Evening. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Monday.