Thursday, July 31st Severe Weather Outlook

30 07 2008

Thursday’s Severe Weather Outlook

12:30AM

A wave will contunue to push through the Southern States, while a “ring of fire” pattern begins to evolve around the daome of heat in the Plains, both will produce severe weather. I have issued a sligh risk fro severe storms on Thursday. Storms will be ongoing across portions of Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, Indiana, and Ohio, this is associated with the remnants of Hurricane Dolly, and previous storm clusters, heavy rain fall is possible and will continue through the day. Storms may also be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Minnesota South Dakota, and Iowa, as an MCS/derecho slides east-southeast along a stationary boundary. The storms may be severe with damaging winds the main threat. In the Midwest, the Morning MCS/derecho will continue through Minnesota and Iowa, as it strengthens once again. It will then move across Northern Illinois, Southern Wisconsin, and into Northern Indiana. Other severe storms may develop in the Evening and Night across Iowa. In the Southeast, during the Afternoon, storms will develop. SB CAPE is expected to be around 3000, ML CAPE around 2000, and LI’s around -6. This will cause some scattered storms to become severe as the move east across the area. There is a slight chance portions of Southern Minnesota, Northern Iowa, Southern Wisconsin, and Northern Illinois may have to be upgraded to a moderate risk.  Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Thursday.





Wednesday, July 30th Severe Weather Outlook

30 07 2008

Wednesday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:30AM

A storm system will continue to work its way across the Great lakes, as in the Plains the frontal boundary begins to retreat as a warm front. I have issued a slight risk fro severe storms on Wednesday. Storms will be ongoing in portions of Illinois, Missouri, and Oklahoma in Wednesday Morning. These storms will be capable of producing heavy rain. In the Afternoon storms will develop in the Southeast. Instibility is not too good, as SB CAPE and ML CAPE is only expected to be around 2000, but as like on Tuesday it will be enough to produce scattered severe storms. In the Plains severe storms may develop in the Afternoon or Evening in North Dakota, and South Dakota, as SB CAPE and ML CAPE will get up to around 3000. Storms may ride southeast along the warm front through the rest of South Dakota. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Wednesday.





Tuesday, July 29th Severe Weather Outlook

29 07 2008

Tuesday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:30AM

A system will continue to push across the Midwest, as a new system enters the Rocky Mountain states,  and the remnants of Hurricane Dolly slowly move over the Plains. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Tuesday. Storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin, an isolated storm may be severe. Storms and heavy rain will also be in progress in the Morning across portions of Kansas, Texas, and Oklahoma, as the remnants of Hurricane Dolly slowly move northeast. This area of heavy rain and storms will persist through the day. In the Afternoon in the Midwest severe storms will break out and push east through the Evening, and continue into the Night. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Tuesday.





Monday, July 28th Severe Weather Outlook

28 07 2008

Monday’s Severe Weather Outlook

2:00AM

A system will continue to will continue to slowly push through the Plains and Midwest, as a fast move wave will move through the Northeast. Both system will bring another round of severe weather. I have issued a sligh risk for severe storms on Monday. Storms will be ongoing in parts of North Dakota, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Insiana, Kansas in the Morning. These storms will weaken, but still have the potential to produce flooding rain, especially in Iowa and Missouri. In the Plains and Midwest severe storms will develop in the Afternoon, in portions of North Dakota, and Sotuh Dakota.  These storms will move east and by Evening may form into an MCS(storm complex), and push east-southeast through Minnesota, and into Iowa, Wisconsin, and Illinois through the Night. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Monday.





Sunday, July 27th Severe Weather Outlook

27 07 2008

Sunday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:45AM

A cold front will continue to push the through the Northeast to the Atlantic Coast, as a new system affects the Plains and Midwest, both will bring a chance of severe weather. I have issued a moderate risk for severe storms on Sunday. An MCS(storm Complex) may be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Minnesota and South Dakota. These storms will continue to push through Minnesota, and into Iowa by as they once again become severe in the Afternoon. In the Northeast, severe storms will develop along a front in the Afternoon. these storms will persist into the Evening before weakening and/or pushing off the coast. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Sunday.





Saturday, July 26th Severe Weather Outlook

26 07 2008

Saturday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:30AM

A weak cold front will push into the Northeast and Ohio Valley, while a new system enters the Plains. I have issued a slight risk fro severe storms on Saturday. Severe storms are expected to break out across portions of Wyoming, Montana, and South Dakota Saturday Afternoon. As the storms push through South Dakota, they will form into an MCS(storm complex), and psuh through Southern Minnesota, Nebraska, and Iowa through the Night. In the Northeast and Ohio Valley storms will develop along a weak front in the Afternoon, a few isolated storms may become severe. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Saturday.





Friday, July 25th Severe Weather Outlook

25 07 2008

Friday’s Severe Weather Outlook

1:00AM

A cold front will continue to sweep across the Plains, Midwest, and into the Great Lakes on Friday, bringing more severe weather. I have issued a slight risk for severe storms on Friday. Storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Nebraska, Iowa, Missouri, and Illinois. These storms will weaken as the Morning goes on. In the Afternoon severe storms will break out along a front from around Wisconsin and Minnesota, down into Nebraska and back into Wyoming. Storms will likely persist into the Night, before weakening. Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Friday.