Tuesday, June 9th 2009 Weather Outlook

9 06 2009

Tuesday’s Weather Outlook; Northeast/Mid-Atlantic System, West/Plains/Mississippi Valley System

12:00PM

On Tuesday, a system will push into the Northeast, while a system slowly moves into the Plains. Showers and storms will be likely over portions of the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic, as a system pushes through. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Kentucky, West Virginia, Virginia, North Carolina, Deleware and Maryland. CAPE values will be around 3000 J/Kg, LI’s of -9 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 25-55KT. This along with the system pushing through, will help storms become severe. Severe storms siwll develop in the Afternoon ahead of the system, from New York back down through Ohio and into North Carolina. these storsm will push eastward through the day, before pushing offshore or weakening as diurnal cooling sets in. The main threats from any severe storms will be hail, damagign winds and an isolated tornado. In the Plains, a system will sloly work into the region. Showers and storms will be likely in portions of the West, Plains and Mississippi Valley, associated with this system. There is a moderate risk for severe storms in portions of Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri and Arkansas. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Akransas, and Missouri. Along the warm front from Kansas and Oklahoma eastward into Missouri and Arkansas. CAPE values will be around 4500 J/Kg, LI’s of -10 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 35-65KT. Severe storms will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Kansas and Missouri, within and MCS. These storms will push southeast through the day, with a continues severe threat. Other severe storms will develop in the Afternoon across portions of Kansas and Oklahoma. These storms may form into yet and MCS in the Evening. This complex will push eastward into the Night, with a continued severe threat. Along the dry line from Okahoma down into Texas. CAPE values will be around 5000 J/KG, LI’s of -9 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 20-45KT. Storms will develop during the Evening along the dry line, some will be severe. These storms will push eastward into the night, before weakening. On the Front Range, in portions of Colorado and Nebraska. CAPE values will be around 1000 J/KG, LI’s of -6 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-60KT. Severe storms will develop in the Afternoon across Western Nebraska and Northern Colorado. These storsm will push eastward into the Evening, before weakening as diurnal cooling sets in. The main threats from any severe storms will be hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. Below is the severe weather outlook for Tuesday.

sev 526

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