Thursday, July 31st Severe Weather Outlook

30 07 2008

Thursday’s Severe Weather Outlook

12:30AM

A wave will contunue to push through the Southern States, while a “ring of fire” pattern begins to evolve around the daome of heat in the Plains, both will produce severe weather. I have issued a sligh risk fro severe storms on Thursday. Storms will be ongoing across portions of Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, Indiana, and Ohio, this is associated with the remnants of Hurricane Dolly, and previous storm clusters, heavy rain fall is possible and will continue through the day. Storms may also be ongoing in the Morning across portions of Minnesota South Dakota, and Iowa, as an MCS/derecho slides east-southeast along a stationary boundary. The storms may be severe with damaging winds the main threat. In the Midwest, the Morning MCS/derecho will continue through Minnesota and Iowa, as it strengthens once again. It will then move across Northern Illinois, Southern Wisconsin, and into Northern Indiana. Other severe storms may develop in the Evening and Night across Iowa. In the Southeast, during the Afternoon, storms will develop. SB CAPE is expected to be around 3000, ML CAPE around 2000, and LI’s around -6. This will cause some scattered storms to become severe as the move east across the area. There is a slight chance portions of Southern Minnesota, Northern Iowa, Southern Wisconsin, and Northern Illinois may have to be upgraded to a moderate risk.  Threats from any severe storms will be damaging winds, hail, and an isolated tornado. Below is my severe weather outlook for Thursday.


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