Wednesday, June 24th 2009 Weather Outlook

Wednesday’s Weather Outlook; West/Plains/Mississippi valley/Great Lakes/Southeast System, Northeast System

12:30AM

On Wednesday, a system will continue to affect the Northeast Coast, while a system continues to push through the Plains. Showers and isolated storms will be possible along the Northeast Coast, as a system continues to push along the coast. In the Plains a system will continue to push eastward, bringing showers and storms to portions of the West, Plains, Great Lakes, Mississippi Valley and Southeast. There is a slight risk for severe storms over portions of Nebraska, Kansas,Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Illinois. CAPE values will be around 5000 J/KG, LI’s of -12 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 30-60KT. This along with the system in the area, will help storms become severe. Sstorms will develop in the Afternoon from Nebraska and the Dakotas back into Iowa and Missouri. These storms would push eastward into the Evening, storms may form into one or two MCS’s and continue eastward over night with a severe threat. The main threat from the severe storms will be damaging winds, hail and an isoalted tornado. Across the Great Lakes; CAPE values iwll be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -8 and Effective Bulk shear values up to 35KT. Some storms may become severe across the area. The lack of shear will preclude a slight risk from being issued. Across portions of the Mississippi Valley and Southeast; CAPE values will be around 3000 J/KG, LI’s of -5 and Effective Bulk Shear values up to 35KT. Given the lack of shear, the severe threat will remain limited, which will preclude a slight risk from being issued. The main threats from any storms the may become severe, will be hail and damaging winds. Below is the severe weather outlook for Wednesday.

Tuesday, June 23rd 2009 Weather Outlook

Tuesday’s Weather Outlook; Plaind/West, Mississippi Valley/Southeast System, Northeast System

12:00PM

On Tuesday, a system will push eastward into the Plains, while a system continue to affect the Atlantic Coast. Showers and isolated storms will be possible along the Northeast Coast. As a system continues to move along the Atlantic Coast. In the Plains, a system will psuhe astward through the regino. Showers and storms will be likely over portions of the West, Plains, Mississippi Valley and Southeast associated with this system .There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Wyoming, Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota, Minnesota, Missouri, Iowa, Illinois, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida. An MCS will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of South Dakota and Nebraska in the Morning. This complex will push east-southeast through the day, with a continued severe threat. CAPE values ahead of the coplex will be around 8000 J/KG, LI’s of -14 and Effective Bulk Shear values up to 35KT will aid in a severe threat with this complex. The complex will begin to weaken during the Evening across Illinois and Missouri, as the complex leaves the instibility axis. Further west from Colorado into Nebraska; CAPE values will be around 4500 J/KG, LI’s of -12 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 20-50KT. This alogn with the system in the area, will help storms become severe. Severe storms will develop in the Afternoon from Colorado into Nebraska. these storms may grow upscale into an MCS across Nebraska. This complex may continue eastward through the Night. Across the Mississippi Valley and Southeast from Missouri into Florida, CAPE values will be around 4000 J/KG, LI’s of -7 and Effective Bulk Shear values oup to 35KT. Severe storms will develop in the Afternoon along and near a stationary boundary. These storms will push southeast into the Evening, before weakening as diurnal cooling sets in. The main threats from the severe storms will be damaging winds, hail and a few tornadoes. Below is the severe weather outlook for Tuesday.

Monday, June 22nd 2009 Weather Outlook

Monday’s Weather Outlook, West/Plains/Ohio Valley/Southeast System, Mid-atlantic System

12:00PM

On Monday, a system will continue to sit off of the Atlantic Coast, while a system continues to affect the West and Plains. Showers and storms will be possible over portions of the Mid-Atlantic, as a system moves along the Coast. With limited instibility, a few storms may become severe. Weith the main threats being hail and damaging winds. In the West and Plains, a system will continue to affect the regions. Showers and storms will be possible in portions of the Plains and West with this system. Showers and storms will also be likely in portions of the Ohio Valley and Southeast along a stationary boundary, witha “Ring Of Fire” pattern still in place. As a dome of heat will still be found across the Central US, with widespread temperatures in the 90’s, with heat indicies in the 100’s. There is a slight risk for severe storms in portions of Colorado, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Indiana, Illinois, Kentucky, Tennesse, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georiga and Florida. In the Western Plains from the Dakotas down into Colorado; CAPE values will be around 2500 J/KG, LI’s of -7 and Effective Bulk Shear values of 20-55KT. This along with the system in the area, will help storms become severe. Severe storms will develop in the Afternoon from the Dakotas down into Colorado. these storms will push eastward into the Evening. Storms then may form into and MCS in portions of Nebraska and South Dakota, and continue to push eastward overnight with a severe threat. In portions of the Ohio Valley and Southeast from Indiana into Florida; a MCS will be ongoing in the Morning across portions of the Ohio Valley. This complex will push southeast through the day with a severe threat. Other severe storms will develop along a stationary boundary in the area. CAPE values around 4000 J/KS, LI’s of -8 and Effective Bulk Shear values up to 45KT will aid in the severe potential. The main threats from the severe storms will be damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado. Below is the severe weather outlook for Monday.